3 Ways to Deal with the Deep Uncertainty of Sea Level Rise
27 Jul 2021
One of the biggest obstacles in dealing with sea level rise (SLR) is the deep uncertainty in projections. The latest scientific data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), its Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) has the "likely" rise range projected between 0.3 - 1.1m (RCP 2.6 - RCP 8.5) by end of the century, but that accounts for 17 - 83% probability, meaning tail-risks beyond 1.1m have not been included but are still plausible.
This article will cover how SLR uncertainty is here to stay, but how it can be minimised as discussed at the Singapore International Water Week 2021 (SIWW2021) following advice from climate & planning experts.
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